From: Douglas Dysart <dougdysart <at> HOTMAIL <dot> COM>
Date: 5 mar 2000
Subject: # of potential shogi players

>From: Colin Paul Adams <colin <at> COLINA <dot> DEMON <dot> CO <dot> UK>
>     Manabu,> If the consensus is made that the shogi population
>     Manabu,> outside Japan will sooner or later reach 30 million,
>
>I think that is most unlikely.
>
>You have reached this figure by assuming that 10% of casual chess
>players will become exposed to, and at least slightly interested in,
>shogi.
>
>I would suggest that 1% is over-optimistic, let alone 10%.

I've been promoting shogi for years, and my experience has been that, even
in a conservative and close-minded town like Cincinnati, OH, many chess
players will try shogi.  I would say about 15% of the chessplayers here have
tried it and about 5% stick with it for a long time.

So, I have to side with Manabu on this one.  It's easy to get 10% of
chessplayers to at least try it, but it's hard to get them to stick with it.
  You have to really push them and hype up shogi a lot.



Cheers,
Doug Dysart
http://world.conk.com/world/dougd
            *                     *         Chess
        *       *                ***        Teacher,
       *  OHIO   *                *         TD, and
      *           *         ***** * *****   Promoter
     *    SHOGI    *       *     ***     *
    *               *      *      *      *
   *      CLUB       *       ***********
  *                   *       *       *
***********************       *******

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